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War on Terror

This tag is associated with 16 posts

Challenge and Response, but No Policy Change: US Strikes Assad

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On the night of April 6th, US naval forces in the Mediterranean launched 59 cruise missiles against the Syrian government facility at Shayrat Air Force Base. The Tomahawk missiles were launched from the frigates USS Porter and USS Ross in response to a deadly chemical attack carried out on Tuesday the 4th against the civilians […]

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Inherent Resolve: Evaluating the First 60 days of the Trump Administration

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While campaigning for election last year, candidate Trump derided then President Obama’s strategy in the war against the Islamic State. Calling it misguided and weak, Mr. Trump claimed that he knew more than the officers involved in conducting the operations of Inherent Resolve and that he had a plan to utterly destroy ISIS within 30 […]

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Syria Fixation: Evaluation of US Strategic Options and Priorities

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Tensions have increased sharply between the United States and Russia since the breakdown of the Syrian ceasefire two weeks ago. Although there have been no incidents involving forces from either side, there has been much irresponsible talk on both sides. There has also been a concrete escalation, mostly on the side of the Russians, which […]

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Inherent Resolve: Full Data Set 2015 to present

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Time series analysis is a valuable statistical tool, used in many industries to develop models, understand patterns and bring some order out of the chaos of a complex economy. It is no less useful in studying military affairs: the ebb and flow of battles and campaigns is a real phenomenon and one that cannot be […]

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No Pardon for Snowden

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Edward Snowden has a suggestion for President Obama: “pardon me.” The Presidential Pardon is a prerogative that can be exercised at any time, but is especially favored by Oval Office holders in the last days of their Administration. It is an extraordinarily powerful executive privilege: there is no judicial review, no Congressional oversight, no possibility […]

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Did the US Abandon the New Syrian Army at Al Bukamal?

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On the 28th of June, elements of the rebel force called the New Syrian Army executed a highly ambitious attack to seize the key border town of Al Bukamal. The town sits astride Highway 4[1], the Euphrates River and is only 6 kilometers from the Iraqi border and the town of Al Qa’im. It is […]

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The Coalition Targets Mosul

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Allied air operations in Iraq and Syria continue to indicate that Mosul is the next target of a ground offensive to retake territory from the Islamic State. The distribution and intensity of strikes around that city, and the interdiction of the logistical routes for supplying its defenders, mirrors that of previous offensives, such as the […]

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To the Shores of Tripoli

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Great Britain and Italy are preparing to send ground troops to Libya. With little media attention and even less public debate, up to 6,000 British and Italian soldiers would be deployed to bolster the fragile unity government in its efforts to end the lawlessness in the country and combat the growing presence of Islamic State […]

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Evolution of Islamic State Objectives and Operations

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Recent changes in the balance of power in the Syrian battlespace has possibly led to a change in strategic focus by the Islamic State. These changes are vital to understand in order to evaluate the potential impact both on the outcome of the civil war as well as the broader implications for the entire Arab […]

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Did the Turkish Government Murder Serena Shim? by Jordi Vázquez

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Jordi Vazquez is an expert on North Africa and the Middle East, and regular contributor to different publications. His latest book, recently published, is titled Kurdistan: The People of the Sun. He tweets at @JordiVazquez The article is reprinted with permission of the author. The views expressed are exclusively those of the author and are […]

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“Our obligations to our country never cease but with our lives.“

John Adams

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