// Archive


This tag is associated with 25 posts

Inherent Resolve: Evaluating the First 60 days of the Trump Administration

While campaigning for election last year, candidate Trump derided then President Obama’s strategy in the war against the Islamic State. Calling it misguided and weak, Mr. Trump claimed that he knew more than the officers involved in conducting the operations of Inherent Resolve and that he had a plan to utterly destroy ISIS within 30 […]

Ozymandias: Part One

“I met a traveller from an antique land, Who said—“Two vast and trunkless legs of stone Stand in the desert. . . . Near them, on the sand, Half sunk a shattered visage lies, whose frown, And wrinkled lip, and sneer of cold command, Tell that its sculptor well those passions read Which yet survive, […]

Syria Fixation: Evaluation of US Strategic Options and Priorities

Tensions have increased sharply between the United States and Russia since the breakdown of the Syrian ceasefire two weeks ago. Although there have been no incidents involving forces from either side, there has been much irresponsible talk on both sides. There has also been a concrete escalation, mostly on the side of the Russians, which […]

Did the US Abandon the New Syrian Army at Al Bukamal?

On the 28th of June, elements of the rebel force called the New Syrian Army executed a highly ambitious attack to seize the key border town of Al Bukamal. The town sits astride Highway 4[1], the Euphrates River and is only 6 kilometers from the Iraqi border and the town of Al Qa’im. It is […]

“Brussels Attacks: A Poor Plan Executed With Good Bombs” by Stratfor

The article is reprinted with permission of the Stratfor. The views expressed are exclusively those of the author and are not necessarily endorsed by Common Sense.   Summary Details of the March 22 attacks in Brussels are still emerging. But new information from several sources suggests the attacks were smaller than originally planned and may have been […]

Speculating on Russia’s Syria Drawdown

Russian President Vladimir Putin announced today that his country would begin to withdraw its forces from Syria. Citing the serious degradation of “ISIS forces” and Russia’s interest in contributing to the ceasefire, Mr. Putin determined that the objectives of the intervention had been met. The withdrawal would not include forces protecting the Russian bases at […]

The Coalition Targets Mosul

Allied air operations in Iraq and Syria continue to indicate that Mosul is the next target of a ground offensive to retake territory from the Islamic State. The distribution and intensity of strikes around that city, and the interdiction of the logistical routes for supplying its defenders, mirrors that of previous offensives, such as the […]

Evolution of Coalition Air Operations and the Sunni “Endgame” in Syria, Iraq

As I pointed out in early December, changes to the balance of forces in Syria and Iraq have been forcing together the disparate and fractious elements of the “informal Sunni coalition,” nominally led by Saudi Arabia. These actors have had little in common except an extreme wariness of Persian power and influence west of the […]

Syria is the New Spanish Civil War

The Syrian Civil War, the fight against the Islamic State, the anarchy in Yemen, terrorist bombings in Lebanon and Kuwait, the renewal of hostilities between Turkish authorities and the PKK: these events cannot be viewed in isolation. Although each has its own unique and specific causes, actors and circumstances, they all must be viewed through […]

Outside the Box: Has the US Revealed the Sunni Endgame in Syria, Iraq?

A series of related events point to a possible endgame scenario in Syria and Iraq. There are signs of previously unknown levels of cooperation and alignment between the United States and the key Sunni states in the region that could lead to a power-sharing agreement that satisfies the strategic interests of these powers. The principal […]

“Our obligations to our country never cease but with our lives.“

John Adams


Subscribe to Blog via Email

Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email.

Join 55 other subscribers