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This tag is associated with 11 posts

Syria Fixation: Evaluation of US Strategic Options and Priorities

Tensions have increased sharply between the United States and Russia since the breakdown of the Syrian ceasefire two weeks ago. Although there have been no incidents involving forces from either side, there has been much irresponsible talk on both sides. There has also been a concrete escalation, mostly on the side of the Russians, which […]

The Coalition Targets Mosul

Allied air operations in Iraq and Syria continue to indicate that Mosul is the next target of a ground offensive to retake territory from the Islamic State. The distribution and intensity of strikes around that city, and the interdiction of the logistical routes for supplying its defenders, mirrors that of previous offensives, such as the […]

2016: The Year of Ungovernability (Part 3)

This series of articles provides a brief overview of the conditions in different parts of our increasingly unified global system that are symptomatic of its increasing entropy. The selected examples are each relevant to the disorders of our day, both in relative size and in their typology, though they may appear to be unrelated. This […]

Iran Nuclear Deal: Creating a New Paradigm in the Middle East

On Tuesday, the P5+1 nations reached an agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran for the peaceful resolution of the nuclear impasse[1]. A collapse of the talks would almost certainly have resulted in an Iranian sprint for a working atomic bomb and very probably a US-led air campaign to prevent it. Negotiators from both sides […]

Historic Nuclear Deal with Iran Reached

The Five +1 nations have reached an agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran for the peaceful resolution of the nuclear impasse, says the New York Times. This is a “Nixon going to China” moment in US foreign policy. If the deal holds, and if the Iranians live up to their end, and if the […]

Conspiracy Theory: Was John Kerry the Victim of an Assassination Attempt?

Let me begin by saying that here at Common Sense, I am not a believer in conspiracy theories. All history proves that in even relatively closed societies, conspiracies suffer from an inverse square law of revelation. That is to say that the probability of a conspiracy successfully being kept secret declines in an inverse square […]

Obama’s Deal with Congress: Who Wins?

Summary: Recent domestic developments in the United States and Iran appear to represent setbacks for supporters of the nuclear negotiations. However, while the compromises and challenges are real, the concessions agreed upon actually benefit the President more than Congress and strengthen his hand. Russian efforts to derail a deal without appearing to are also proving […]

Outside the Box: How Likely Is An Israeli Attack On Iran?

Executive Summary: A conjunction of events opens a window of opportunity for Israel to launch a pre-emptive strike against Iran’s nuclear facilities. The framework agreement reached in Switzerland between the 5+1 nations and Iran is vehemently opposed by the Israeli government, which wants what it considers a more permanent solution to the problem. Republican legislators in […]

Peace with Iran … for now

On Friday, negotiators in Geneva reached an agreement to limit and improve the monitoring of Iran’s nuclear program in return for the continuation of that program for peaceful purposes and the lifting of economic sanctions[1]. What exactly was agreed? The Washington Post provides an excellent summary of the agreement: This is not a perfect agreement, […]

Reset Done Wrong

On 13th of April, North Korea attempted to launch a ballistic missile despite overwhelming international condemnation. The missile, ostensibly carrying a satellite, broke up soon after launch. The government of Kim Jong Un, the New Great Leader, was not only denied the satisfaction of a successful test to demonstrate the North’s advanced military capabilities to inaugurate his glorious reign, but may […]

“Our obligations to our country never cease but with our lives.“

John Adams


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